BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 119 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (0-8) Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength = 118.23
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Away L 112.66 10 43 1A 47 ( 9- 4) Nebraska -5.57 -27.43
2 09/10/2016 Home W 123.94 31 3 1B 94 ( 2- 9) Sacramento St 5.71 22.29
3 09/17/2016 Away L 109.04 17 52 1A 51 ( 9- 4) Toledo -9.19 -25.81
4 09/24/2016 Home L 138.29 41 48 1A 33 ( 10- 3) Tulsa 20.06 -27.06
5 10/01/2016 Away L * 99.91 20 45 1A 111 ( 4- 8) UNLV -18.32 -6.68
6 10/08/2016 Away L * 121.31 22 27 1A 105 ( 5- 7) Nevada 3.08 -8.08
7 10/14/2016 Home L * 129.38 3 17 1A 45 ( 11- 3) San Diego St 11.15 -25.15
8 10/22/2016 Away L * 114.35 20 38 1A 87 ( 3- 9) Utah St -3.88 -14.12
9 10/28/2016 Home L * 126.21 21 31 1A 61 ( 10- 3) Air Force 7.99 -17.99
10 11/05/2016 Away L * 103.59 0 37 1A 67 ( 7- 6) Colorado St -14.64 -22.36
11 11/19/2016 Home L * 120.84 13 14 1A 108 ( 7- 7) Hawaii 2.62 -3.62
12 11/26/2016 Home L * 119.22 14 16 1A 110 ( 4- 8) San Jose St 1.00 -3.00
Averages 118.23 17.7 30.9
Best game: 138.29 = 7 point loss to Tulsa
Worst game: 99.91 = 25 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev: 10.96